Friday, February 20, 2009

The new middle classes in emerging markets ...

Revista The Economist a publicat recent (Feb 12, 2009) o serie de articole si interview`uri legate de un fenomen nou care se manifesta global, ... care ar putea avea niste implicatii si consecinte economico-sociale care ar putea injecta o unda de optimism in contemplarea viitorului ...

For the first time in history more than half the world is middle-class—thanks to rapid growth in emerging countries.
John Parker (interviewed here) prezinta incercarile la care actuala criza economica si financiara va supune acesta noua categorie sociala si felurile posibile in care ea va reactiona ...

“Middle-class” describes an income category but also a set of attitudes ...“more sociological than logical”.
An essential characteristic is the possession of a reasonable amount of discretionary income. Middle-class people do not live from hand to mouth, job to job, season to season, as the poor do...
Middle-class people have a third of their income left for discretionary spending after providing for basic food and shelter. This allows them not just to buy things like fridges or cars but to improve their health care or plan for their children’s education.

Read More...

In practice, emerging markets may be said to have two middle classes.

One consists of those who are middle class by any standard—ie, with an income between the average Brazilian and Italian. This group has the makings of a global class whose members have as much in common with each other as with the poor in their own countries. It is growing fast, but still makes up only a tenth of the developing world.
You could call it the global middle class.

The other, more numerous, group consists of those who are middle-class by the standards of the developing world but not the rich one. Some time in the past year or two, for the first time in history, they became a majority of the developing world’s population: their share of the total rose from one-third in 1990 to 49% in 2005.
Call it the developing middle class.

The surge across the poverty line is a period of accelerating growth both for the new middle class and for the country it inhabits. That should continue for a couple of decades. By most estimates, the global middle class will more than double in number between now and 2030.
This will have profound social consequences, as happened in previous middle-class surges.


3 comments:

vics said...

Iata ce scria Thomas Malthus ...,
cind observa primele excrescente
of the world’s first mass middle class in early 19th-century England:
“it is probable that extreme poverty or too great riches may be alike unfavourable [to furthering the progress of mankind].
The middle regions of society seem to be best suited to intellectual improvement.

vics said...

Iar Karl Marx, un admirator al lui Malthus, era si el uimit de emergentza si mai ales de "eficientza" cu care clasele burgheze au puterea de a schimba vechi mentalitati si de a zdruncina un "status-quo" ...

Din textul de mai jos (din “Communist Manifesto”) se vede ca Marx a complimentat (fara a avea intentia) clasa burgheza ...
fiind cam invidios pe faptul ca burghezia nu avea nevoie de IDEOLOGIi prea complicate ..., pentru a-si proclama influentza:

"Historically it has played a most revolutionary part.
The bourgeoisie, wherever it has got the upper hand, has put an end to all feudal, patriarchal, idyllic relations…
It has accomplished wonders far surpassing Egyptian pyramids, Roman aqueducts and Gothic cathedrals…
The bourgeoisie has through its exploitation of the world market given a cosmopolitan character to production and consumption in every country…
All old-established national industries have been destroyed or are daily being destroyed. They are dislodged by new industries, whose introduction becomes a life-and-death question for all civilised nations…
In place of the old wants, satisfied by the production of the country, we find new wants, requiring for their satisfaction the products of distant lands and climes…
National one-sidedness and narrow-mindedness become more and more impossible, and from the numerous national and local literatures there arises a world literature.
The bourgeoisie, by the rapid improvement of all instruments of production, by the immensely facilitated means of communication, draws all, even the most barbarian, nations into civilisation."

vics said...

cei interesati in articolele din The Economist, ... iata link`urile:

Burgeoning bourgeoisie
Who's in the middle?